Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.055429 0.064571 0.074600 0.086400 0.099880 0.114779 0.132470
2025-04-06 0.041364 0.053267 0.067524 0.085777 0.108433 0.135532 0.170292
2025-04-13 0.031883 0.044900 0.061753 0.084980 0.115937 0.155523 0.209683
2025-04-20 0.027043 0.041198 0.060807 0.089599 0.130364 0.185498 0.265071
2025-04-27 0.023064 0.037746 0.059368 0.092971 0.143157 0.214447 0.322218
2025-05-04 0.018674 0.032743 0.054713 0.090735 0.147295 0.231375 0.364020
2025-05-11 0.015599 0.029157 0.051500 0.089969 0.153163 0.251009 0.411328
2025-05-18 0.012845 0.025542 0.047582 0.087340 0.155501 0.265145 0.451246
2025-05-25 0.010762 0.022699 0.044456 0.085456 0.158587 0.280436 0.494042
2025-06-01 0.009379 0.020890 0.042837 0.085875 0.165449 0.302294 0.549223
2025-06-08 0.007923 0.018646 0.040039 0.083692 0.167328 0.315709 0.591139
2025-06-15 0.007390 0.018223 0.040670 0.088023 0.181463 0.351550 0.674685
2025-06-22 0.006537 0.016966 0.039495 0.088767 0.189137 0.376948 0.742717
2025-06-29 0.005570 0.015256 0.037109 0.086723 0.191162 0.392184 0.793712
2025-07-06 0.004792 0.013836 0.035118 0.085212 0.194030 0.409196 0.849416
2025-07-13 0.004505 0.013593 0.035745 0.089465 0.209218 0.451279 0.956308
2025-07-20 0.004176 0.013172 0.035887 0.092633 0.222415 0.490513 1.060719
2025-07-27 0.003587 0.011908 0.033781 0.090304 0.223380 0.505086 1.117290
2025-08-03 0.003156 0.010995 0.032399 0.089491 0.227585 0.526618 1.189538
2025-08-10 0.002704 0.009913 0.030393 0.086850 0.227267 0.538501 1.242676
2025-08-17 0.002345 0.009034 0.028781 0.084962 0.228468 0.553671 1.303794
2025-08-24 0.002114 0.008518 0.028089 0.085373 0.235213 0.581521 1.394096
2025-08-31 0.001829 0.007745 0.026521 0.083199 0.235318 0.594433 1.452672